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Sources for information shown in this section are generally the companies or associations concerned, and may not be marked. Other sources marked. Travel Business Analyst is marked 'TBA'.

 

28 July 2014
Airport updates for June:
-Dubai handled 5.07mn passengers, -8.5%, and 34.7mn +6.2% Jan-Jun.
-Singapore handled 4.65mn passengers, -0.3%, and 26.6mn +1.4% Jan-Jun.

-Link to Foxtrots blog on Adrian Zecha, Aman Resorts: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/07/28/aman-zecha-part-2/

25 July 2014
Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in May, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows -1.4% for AF+KL, +8.3% BA+IB, +2.8% LH+LX+OS.

24 July 2014
It is not working for Macau. We have said this before, but all those new hotel rooms, meetings facilities, exhibitions, conferences, etc, are not pulling in visitors from markets other than gamblers from China. Half-year data shows total +8%, but it’s all China - +15%. Even Hong Kong was -6%, and non-CN/HK -1%.

23 July 2014
Our YTD through March calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +0.8% (all airports +2.2%). Last month: +6.8% (+5.2%).

22 July 2014
Update from WTO (World Tourism Organization):
-Total: Jan-Apr arrivals +5%.
-Continent: Americas +6%, Asia Pacific +6%, Europe +5%.
-Sub region: Northern Europe +8%, Southern/Mediterranean Europe +8%, Northeast Asia (+7%), South Asia +8%. (Southeast Asia not shown.)
-Summer-peak forecast (May-Aug) +8%.
-Full year forecast +4-4.5%, well above WTO’s +3.8% forecast for 2010-20.
* A full report on this topic in the August issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter contains some important additional observations on the data shown here.

21 July 2014
The April hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 0.3; AsPac 1.3; Europe -2.4; US 1.9. Previous month: 2.9; -1.4; 4.6; 1.6.

18 July 2014
Travel industry updates in June:
-The Baird/STR hotel stock index was +2.6%, and +11.4% Jan-Jun.
-Frankfurt airport handled 5.6mn passengers +3.3%, and 27.8mn +2.4% Jan-Jun.
-London Heathrow handled 6.6mn passengers, +1.1%.
-Cathay Pacific (and Dragonair) sold 2.61mn seats, +5.1%.

17 July 2014
ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization) forecasts world scheduled air passenger traffic* will grow 6.0% this year, after +5.5% in 2013.
  Asia Pacific + 7.2% this year, Europe +5.4%, North America +2.7%.
* A full report on this topic in the August issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter contains some important additional observations on the data shown here.

16 July 2014
The May ‘TBA-100 Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 158; AsPac 83; Europe 113; US 279. (Base: Dec 06.)

15 July 2014
-Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Apr +3E; Mar +2P; Feb +2.2; Jan +3.8. 2013: Dec +4.6; Nov +1.2; Oct +2.7; Sep +2.0; Aug +2.6; Jul +2.7; Jun +2.7; May +2.8. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

-Link to Travel Intelligence column, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10037807#/10

14 July 2014
-According to new Smith Travel Research data (on which we may have made additional calculations), the number of hotel rooms being planned is +12% in the US, +10% in Europe - and +30% in Asia Pacific!

-Link to Travel Pursuits column (travel trade humour, quiz, crossword), in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10037807#/26

11 July 2014
US updates:
-Outbound travel to overseas destinations (excluding Canada, Mexico) 3.9mn, +5%, in February - Europe 1.07mn +3%, Asia 689k +3%, Oceania 114k +5%.
-Visitor arrivals 5.8mn, -0.8%, in March. From overseas 2.3mn, -8.0%.

10 July 2014
Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Apr +7E; Mar +6P; Feb +5.7; Jan +8.1. 2013: Dec +5.6; Nov +4.8; Oct +6.9; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

9 July 2014
Aviation updates:
-American RPKs were +1.0% in June.
-Etihad sold 6.7mn seats, +22%, Jan-Jun.
-Airports in Europe handled +4.8% passengers in May.
-IATA (International Air Transport Association) airline member RPKs were +6.2% in May.
-Southwest RPKs were +2.2% in June.
-United RPKs were flat in June.

8 July 2014
Europe airline updates:
-Air Berlin sold 3.25mn seats, flat, in June.
-Air France-KLM sold 7.2mn seats, +3.9%, in June; its Transavia subsidiary 1mn, +7.6%.
-IAG (British, Iberia, Vueling) RPKs were +5.9% in June.
-Lufthansa Group (mainly Austrian, Lufthansa, Swiss) sold 50mn seats, +0.8%, Jan-Jun; Lufthansa (with Germanwings) 36.3mn, +1.0%.
-Ryanair sold 8.3m seats, +5%, in June.
-SAS sold 2.7mn seats, +12.4%, in June.

7 July 2014
Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Apr +5E; Mar +2P; Feb +5.1; Jan +6.3. 2013: Dec +3.9; Nov +3.1; Oct +5.5; Sep +4.0; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

4 July 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Apr +5E; Mar +3P; Feb +4.8; Jan +6.4. 2013: Dec +5.1; Nov +3.6; Oct +5.3; Sep +4.7; Aug +5.7; Jul +2.6; Jun +4.8; May +4.0. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

3 July 2014
Forecast 2014 arrivals in Asean destinations, mn: Brunei┼ 0.24, +3.1%; Cambodia 4.50, +7.1%; Indonesia 9.20, +5.7%; Laos 4.00, +5.4%; Malaysia 28.0, +7.7%; Myanmar 3.00, +50.0%; Philippines 6.80, +3.9%; Singapore 16.9E, +7.5%E; Thailand 28.0, +7.7%; Vietnam 8.30, +9.6%; All-Asean* 109.0, +9.8%.
Notes: Some forecasts are growth, others a number; we have calculated the other figure. E = estimate. ┼Some figures may include cruise passengers; statements not always categorical. Source: DMOs, *Travel Business Analyst.
 A full report on this topic in the Travel Business Analyst newsletter contains some important additional observations on the data shown here.

2 July 2014
Aviation updates in May:
-Aeroflot sold 1.9mn seats, +13.7%.
-RPKs of member airlines of IATA (International Air Transport Association) were +6.2%. International +l7.0%, domestic +4.6% - Australia +5.2%, China +9.4%, India +4.1%, Japan +3.7%, Russia +13.2%, US +2.6%.
-Singapore airport handled 4.37mn passengers, +2.0%.

1 July 2014
-Link to Foxtrots blog on Adrian Zecha, Aman Resorts: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/07/01/adrian-zecha-aman-resorts/

Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in June. Airlines: biggest growth, Malaysia +14%; biggest fall, Lufthansa -19%. Hotels: Orient Exp +10%, Melia -4%. Others: Orbitz +20%, Thomas Cook -18%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, Thai +15%; biggest fall, Malaysia -22%. Hotels: InterContinental +17%, ShangriLa -5%. Others: Priceline +10%, Intl Leisure Grp -21%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 155, US 278, AsPac 82, Eur 105.  Index previous month: WW 158, US 279, AsPac 83, Eur 113.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in next month’s newsletters, including comparison with end-year prices over the past 12 months, and with 5- and 10-years ago.

 

30 June 2014
The February ‘TBA All-Travel Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, for Asia Pacific travel, is at +4% over the same month in 2013. Previous month +5%.

Etihad; another Swissair?
Is Abu Dhabi-based Etihad Airways heading the Swissair way?
  Etihad has just announced plans to buy 49% of Alitalia (once 25% owned by Air France, whose shareholding was cut to 7% after deciding not to participate in a recapitalisation – for the simple reason that it has no money, and certainly not to throw after a loser).
  Etihad likes losers. That might be good business if it could turn its motley collection of airlines around. But because not all report traffic data, or not on a timely basis, it is difficult to be sure. Of its airlines:
-Aer Lingus, Ireland; 3.0% owned. Seat sales currently +2%; in 2013 they were -1%.
–Air Berlin 29%. Flat; -5%.
-Air Serbia (was JAT); 49%. +66%; no earlier data.
-Air Seychelles 40%. Growing well in 2013, +44%; still strong this year, but slower, +38%.
-Alitalia, 49%. Has stopped reporting over the past 2/3 years. Started again at start of this year (traffic was falling, about -1%), but has now stopped again. The last full-year figures we have, for 2011, showed +6% - although its seat-sales total was still below what it was selling in 2005. Etihad may be more active about getting traffic growth than AF has been.
-Etihad Regional, Switzerland (was Darwin [sic]), 33%. No data, but known to be ‘troubled’ before Etihad helped out.
-Jet Airways, India; 24%. +4%; -2%.
-Virgin Australia 21%. +5%; flat.
-Link to Foxtrots blog for a fuller report on this topic: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/06/28/etihad-another-swissair/

 

-Link to Foxtrots blog: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/06/27/far-east-hospitality-resorts-world-others/

 

27 June 2014
According to our calculations on OAG data, the seat capacity share of NFAs* in Europe has grown from 5% of capacity of LCAs-plus-FSAs in 2001, to 39% in 2010, and 43% this year.
*Travel Business Analyst has specific descriptions for FSAs (full-service-airlines), LCAs (low-cost-airlines), NFAs (no-frills-airlines), which may not tally with OAG’s – and which are not defined.

-Link to Travel Pursuits column (travel trade humour, quiz, crossword), Page 28, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10037299#/28

26 June 2014
According to our calculations on OAG data, the seat capacity share of NFAs* in Asia Pacific has grown from 1% of capacity of LCAs-plus-FSAs in 2001, to 18% in 2010, and nearly double that, to 31%, this year.
*Travel Business Analyst has specific descriptions for FSAs (full-service-airlines), LCAs (low-cost-airlines), NFAs (no-frills-airlines), which may not tally with OAG’s – and which are not defined.

-Link to Travel Intelligence column, Page 10, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10037299#/10

25 June 2014
Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in April, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows +1.9% for AF+KL, +10.9% BA+IB, -0.2% LH+LX+OS.

24 June 2014
San Francisco-based AirBnB, as a private company, reveals little market data. The following are some (patternless; sorry) measures we have extracted:
-Around 5mn bookings in 2013. That would indicate a 100% growth – which to us does not seem the stunning growth often seen in new-wave ventures such as this. Because ABB gives no proper operating data, it is not possible to determine if our extrapolations have missed some elements.
-Barcelona latest-year economic impact (of business into the city from ABB clients) US$175mn.
-New York same US$632mn.
-Paris same US$257mn.
-UK same US$824mn.
* A full report on this topic in the current issue of the Net Value monthly-report highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

22 June 2014
Our YTD through February calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +6.8% (all airports +5.2%). Last month: +7.4% (+6.2%).

20 June 2014
The March hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 2.9; AsPac -1.4; Europe 4.6; US 1.6. Previous month: 3.2; 3.1; 4.6; 1.8.

Travel industry updates:
-Frankfurt airport handled 5.3mn passengers, +3.7%, in May.
-US travel agencies’ air ticket sales were US$40.8bn, +4.7%, Jan-May, and ticket transactions 65.4mn +1.9% .

19 June 2014
The April ‘TBA-100 Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 149; AsPac 82; Europe 108; US 258. (Base: Dec 06.)

Travel industry updates:
-Premium travel on IATA member airlines was +3.8% in April.
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.59mn seats, +10.9%, in May.

18 June 2014
Aviation updates in May:
-Air Berlin sold 2.97mn seats, +0.5%.
-Air France-KLM sold 6.7mn seats, flat.
-American RPKs were +2.1%.
-Easyjet sold 6.05mn seats, +7.9%.
-London Heathrow handled 6.2mn passengers, +2.2%.
-SAS sold 2.6mn seats, +7.8%.
-Southwest RPKs were +0.6%.
-United RPKs were +1.2%.

17 June 2014
China Outbound. We have had to restart estimates on China outbound travel, now releases from official sources are intermittent. Our earlier estimate series were good. Last we had to do was for all-2012; we estimated +17% to 82.5mn, and when actual figures were released, they showed +18% to 83.2mn. We estimate Jan-Apr this year was +18% to just under 36mn; that would take the all-year total to 117mn!

16 June 2014
Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Mar +2E; Feb +2P; Jan +3.8. 2013: Dec +4.6; Nov +1.2; Oct +2.7; Sep +2.0; Aug +2.6; Jul +2.7; Jun +2.7; May +2.8; Apr +0.6. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

-Link to Foxtrots blog on Air Malta, Dreamjet: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/06/15/dream-on-air-malta-dreamjet-2/

-Link to Trottings blog on Malta: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/06/15/trottings-malta/

 

13 June 2014
The hotel business is moving fast – well, investors think it is going to move fast. According to Smith Travel data (on which we may have made additional calculations), the number of hotel rooms being planned is up 13.7% in the US, 13.9% in Europe - and 32.0% in Asia Pacific!

12 June 2014
According to TTG Asia, TAT (Thailand’s DMO) has cut its arrivals targets for this year. It was 28mn visitors spending US$43.8bn (at US$1 to B32). New targets are 25.4mn spending US$40.8bn.
  The spending figures are unrealistic and can simply be dismissed. The new arrivals target would mean a fall of 5.0%; fall in the first four months the fall was 4.1%.
* A full report on this topic in the July issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

11 June 2014
Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Mar +6E; Feb +6P; Jan +8.1. 2013: Dec +5.6; Nov +4.8; Oct +6.9; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0; Apr +3.3. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

10 June 2014
Our research indicates more bad news for Egypt’s hotel business in Q1. Occupancy fell a big 25% to 33%. There was also a fall in average room rate; this was smaller, just 4% to US$63.
  For the whole year 2013 it was 44% at US$66, and in 2012, 35% at US$56.

9 June 2014
Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Mar +3E; Feb +5P; Jan +6.3. 2013: Dec +3.9; Nov +3.1; Oct +5.5; Sep +4.0; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3; Apr +0.5. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

6 June 2014
-American RPKs were +4.7% in April.
-IAG (British, Iberia, Vueling) RPKs were +7.3% in May.
-Ryanair sold 8.2mn seats +4% in May.

5 June 2014
US updates:
-In February, US international air passengers: 28.5mn, +7%; Europe +6%; Asia +5%; US nationals 11.9mn, +7%, share 42%; non-US nationals 16.6mn, +6%, share 58%; US airlines 15.0mn , +5%, 53% share; non-US airlines 13.4mn , +9%, 47% share.
-STR forecasts US hotel occupancy 63.1% +1.4% in 2014, average room rate US$115.00 +4.2%. In 2015, 63.5%, +0.6%, ARR US$119.93 +4.3%.

4 June 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Mar +4E; Feb +5P; Jan +6.3. 2013: Dec +5.1; Nov +3.6; Oct +5.3; Sep +4.7; Aug +5.7; Jul +2.6; Jun +4.8; May +4.0; Apr +1.5. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

3 June 2014
-Airports Council International said passengers through airports in Europe in April were +8.0%; EU +7.4%, non-EU +10.0%.

-Link to Travel Intelligence column, Page 8, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10037148#/8

2 June 2014
Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in May. Airlines: biggest growth, Thai +15%; biggest fall, Malaysia -22%. Hotels: InterContinental +17%, ShangriLa -5%. Others: Priceline +10%, Intl Leisure Grp -21%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, Qantas +10%; biggest fall, Air Asia -11%. Hotels: Peninsula +10%, NH -11%. Others: Avis +9%, Orbitz -8%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 158, US 279, AsPac 83, Eur 113.  Index previous month: WW 149, US 258, AsPac 82, Eur 108.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in next month’s newsletters.

30 May 2014
-Aeroflot sold 1.91mn seats, +20.0%, in April.
-IATA (International Air Transport Association) reports member RPKs were +7.5% in April.
-Singapore airport handled 4.38mn passengers, +3.4%, in April.
-US arrivals report for 2013 shows: 70mn +5%; Asia +9%; Oceania +8%; East Europe +18%; West Europe +2%.
-US arrivals were 5.1mn, +6%, in January.

29 May 2014
-The January ‘TBA All-Travel Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, for Asia Pacific travel, is at +5% over the same month in 2013. Previous month +4%.

28 May 2014
-Three travel exhibitions in Tokyo - Tabi, Tabihaku, Visit Japan – are being merged into one event this September.

-A report is planned in the June issue of the People-in-Travel report on Adrian Zecha/Aman Resorts – entitled ‘Zecha chequered’.

27 May 2014
The ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletters, shows monthly travel industry traffic growth of:
World: 2014: Mar +4E; Feb +5P; Jan +6.3. 2013: Dec +5.1; Nov +3.6; Oct +5.3.
Asia Pacific: 2014: Mar +6E; Feb +6P; Jan +8.1. 2013: Dec +5.6; Nov +4.8; Oct +6.9.
Europe: 2014: Mar +3E; Feb +5P; Jan +6.3. 2013: Dec +3.9; Nov +3.1; Oct +5.5.
US: 2014: Mar +2E; Feb +2P; Jan +3.8. 2013: Dec +4.6; Nov +1.2; Oct +2.7.

26 May 2014
-Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in March, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows -2.4% for AF+KL, +4.2% BA+IB, -0.9% LH+LX+OS.

-Strong report in current edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter on Skyscanner’s ‘Future of Travel’ report – entitled ‘Sky slammer’.

23 May 2014
Travel industry counts:
-Air Asia X sold 1.08mn seats, +66.94%, over Jan-Mar.
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.70mn seats, +10.1%, in April.
-STR reports US hotel occupancy 65.7%, +3.2%, average room rate US$114.67, +4.0%, in April.

Link to Foxtrots blog on new CEO at Pan Pacific Hotels: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/05/21/schroeder-pan-pacific-hotels/

22 May 2014
Our January calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +7.4% (all airports +6.2%). All-2013: +1.8% (+5.0%).

21 May 2014
Aviation updates:
-Air France KLM sold 6.7mn seats, +1.8%, in April.
-American RPKs were +4.7% in April.
-Emirates sold 44.5mn seats, +13%, in 2013.
-Frankfurt airport handled 4.7mn passengers, +0.9%, in April.
-IATA reports premium travel grew +1.9% in March.
-London Heathrow airport handled 6.2mn passengers, 6.7%, in April.

20 May 2014
Aviation updates:
-Copenhagen airport handled 2.2mn passengers, +12.8%, in April.
-IAG (British, Iberia, Vueling) RPKs were +9.5% in April.
-Lufthansa Group sold 8.6mn seats, -0.6%, in April.
-SAS sold 2.4mn seats, +9.2%, in April.
-Southwest RPKs were +4.4% in April.
-Turkish sold 12mn seats, +20%, in Q1.

19 May 2014
The February hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 3.2; AsPac 3.1; Europe 4.6; US 1.8. Previous month: 0.3; -1.1; 0.7; 1.2.

16 May 2014
The March ‘TBA-100 Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 151; AsPac 83; Europe 113; US 257. (Base: Dec 06.)

Link to Travel Pursuits column (travel trade humour, quiz, crossword), Page 24, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst:
 http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10036995#/24

15 May 2014
Travel industry updates:
-PATA (Pacific Asia Travel Association). In its 2014-8 forecast report: repeats expectation of over-6%/year growth in visitors over 2013-8 (our counts show first semester was +3.7%); Southeast Asia fastest with +12%/year; Asia markets +8%/year; Russia +20%/year (new restrictions in Russia on outbound travel is slowing or ending growth).
* A full report on this topic in the June issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.
-WTO (World Tourism Organization). Reports visitor spend in 2013 was US$1.16tn, +5%, and spend on transport US$218bn (no growth shown). WTO adds these to get US$1.4tn in “export earnings”. However, not all transport earnings are exports; probably 15% are imports, and another 15% domestic spend (US traveller, for instance, flying US airline).
  WTO calculates the travel business accounts for 29% of services’ exports and 6% goods-and-services’ exports – making it fifth after fuels, chemicals, food, vehicles.
* A full report on this topic in the June issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

14 May 2014
ICCA (International Congress and Convention Association) has produced its annual meetings count*.
  Our main analysis is based on multi-year results. We are motivated by those in the MICE segment of the travel business – who tell us that single-year figures can be misleading, as seen with some unusual moves. As a result, we calculate average-annual totals based on five-year periods - to balance out distortions caused by unusually-big or -small events in one year.
  Surprisingly, ICCA, although it started in 2013 also to measure by 5-year periods, still ranked its findings by single-year figures!
  Following is our ranking (for Asia Pacific, Europe, US only):
[] By country:
-The top-3 remain unchanged, but fourth is the UK the Travel Business Analyst (TBA) ranking - below France in ICCA’s single-year ranking.
-China climbs just above Japan in TBA’s ranking.
-Austria gains three places in TBA’s ranking.
[] By city, showing important changes:
-Vienna retains its top spot in TBA’s ranking – shown as slipping to 3rd in ICCA’s ranking.
-Madrid, 2nd for ICCA, falls to 6th for TBA, below its Barcelona country rival – which will not help the ongoing political debate between those two cities.
-Another big change is Amsterdam – 9th for TBA, 12th for ICCA.
* A full report on this topic in the next issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.
*ICCA compiles details of associations meetings only. To be counted, meetings must:
- Be organised on a regular basis. (No one-off events.)
- Rotate between at least three countries (for one year, 2001, it was four). (Not, for instance, ITB Berlin, but yes to PATA’s annual congress.)
- Have at least 50 participants. (No (small) company meetings.)

Table 2
Country ranking meetings


Country

Rank,TBA

Rank,ICCA

Country

Rank,TBA

Rank,ICCA

US

1

1

Austria

9

12

Germany

2

2

Netherlands

10

9

Spain

3

3

Switzerland

11

17

UK

4

5

Australia

12

14

France

5

4

Korea

13

10

Italy

6

6

Sweden

14

13

China

7

8

Portugal

15

11

Japan

8

7

 

 

 

Notes: ICCA for 2013 only, TBA for annual average (from ICCA data) over 2009-13. Source: International Congress and Convention Association, Travel Business Analyst.

 

Table 2
City ranking meetings


City

Rank,TBA

Rank,ICCA

City

Rank,TBA

Rank,ICCA

Vienna

1

3

Amsterdam

9

12

Paris

2

1

Lisbon

10

=9

Barcelona

3

4

Copenhagen

11

15

Berlin

4

5

Beijing

12

17

Singapore

5

6

Seoul

13

=9

Madrid

6

2

Prague

14

11

London

7

7

Stockholm

15

=20

Istanbul

8

8

 

 

 

Notes/Source: As Table 1.

 

13 May 2014
Travel industry updates:
-Air ticket sales of US travel agencies were US$32.4bn, +4.93%, in Jan-Apr. Source: ARC.
-Occupancy in Bangkok hotels was 55.2%, -30.7%, in Q1. Average room rate was US$99 (B3221.60), -0.6% (in baht). Source: STR Global.

12 May 2014
Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Feb +2E; Jan +3P. 2013: Dec +4.6; Nov +1.2; Oct +2.7; Sep +2.0; Aug +2.6; Jul +2.7; Jun +2.7; May +2.8; Apr +0.6; Mar +3.6. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

9 May 2014
Travel industry counts:
-Aeroflot sold 1.84mn seats, +16.8%, in March.
-Air Berlin sold 2.55mn seats, +2.8%, in April.
-Easyjet April sold 5.79mn seats, +10.2%, in April.
-Monarch sold 6.8mn seats, +15%, in 2013.
-Ryanair sold 7.8mn seats, +5.3%, in April.
-SAS sold 2.4mn seats, +9.2%, in April.
-Visitor spend in US US$11.9bn, +6%, in March.

8 May 2014
Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Feb +6E; Jan +7P. 2013: Dec +5.6; Nov +4.8; Oct +6.9; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0; Apr +3.3; Mar +6.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

7 May 2014
Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Feb +5E; Jan +5P. 2013: Dec +3.9; Nov +3.1; Oct +5.5; Sep +4.0; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3; Apr +0.5; Mar +2.1. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

6 May 2014
Aviation updates:
-Air France-KLM revenue was US$7.71bn (€5.55bn) in Q1. Management reports this as “stable”; it was actually -2.2%.
-IATA (International Air Transport Association) says RPKs were +3.1% in March – international +2.6%, domestic +4.0%.
-Singapore airport handled 4.49mn passengers, -2.5%, in March.

5 May 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Feb +5E; Jan +6P. 2013: Dec +5.1; Nov +3.6; Oct +5.3; Sep +4.7; Aug +5.7; Jul +2.6; Jun +4.8; May +4.0; Apr +1.5; Mar +5.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

2 May 2014
Total passengers through France in Q1 grew 4%. We estimate overall growth for Asia was just 2% - but that hides some surprising falls over some route patterns.
  Of those above 100,000 passengers, Hong Kong was -23%, India -1%, Japan -1%, Singapore -17%. (Still growing well were China +9% and Thailand +11%, albeit partly because it fell 6% in Q1 2013.)
  What’s up?

1 May 2014
Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in April. Airlines: biggest growth, Qantas +10%; biggest fall, Air Asia -11%. Hotels: Peninsula +10%, NH -11%. Others: Avis +9%, Orbitz -8%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, Air NZ +15%; biggest fall, SAS -19%. Hotels: NH +7%, Jinjiang -14%. Others: Kuoni +9%, Orbitz -18%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 149, US 258, AsPac 82, Eur 108.  Index previous month: WW 151, US 257, AsPac 83, Eur 113.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in next month’s newsletters.

30 April 2014
In March, Easyjet sold almost as many seats as Ryanair – 5.1mn (+4.8%) compared with 5.2mn (-3.9%) at Ryan. However, April is the start of the summer big-traffic season for Ryan, so it will stay ahead of Easy. Nevertheless, Ryan is in trouble because of its weak winter business. An earlier report in Foxtrots explained what is the problem with Ryanair’s businessplan.
http://wp.me/pTv9-br

29 April 2014
The December ‘TBA All-Travel Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, for Asia Pacific travel, is at +4% over the same month in 2012. Previous month +2%.

28 April 2014
Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in February, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows 1.8% for AF+KL, +7.4% BA+IB, +0.9% LH+LX+OS.

Link to Foxtrots blog on WTTC head David Scowsill: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/04/26/scowsill-soundbites/

25 April 2014
Our YTD through November calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +1.4% (all airports +5.4%). Last month: +1.2% (+4.7%).

24 April 2014
ITB Berlin has produced some data on moslem travel, not all coherent. Some details:
-In 2020 moslem travel will grow 4.8%, above 3.8% for total travel.
-The moslem share of travel will be 14% in 2020.
-67% of moslem travellers say halal food and cooking is most important for them in a holiday destination, then 53% price, 50% moslem-friendly atmosphere.
-53% went on holiday with their family, 23% with friends, 19% with spouses.
A different report on this topic in the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

23 April 2014
The January hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 0.3; AsPac -1.1; Europe 0.7; US 1.2. Previous month: 1.5; 1.9; 1.6; 1.1.

22 April 2014
GBTA (Global Business Travel Association) forecasts business-travel spend in the US will grow 7.2% to US$288.8bn this year. International is forecast to grow 12.4% to US$36.6bn. Group trip spend (in this case, on MICE travel), is forecast to grow 7.2% to US$124.1bn.
  This outlook is different to that of American Express, which forecasts a fall in MICE this year – flat in meetings numbers in Europe and a 2% fall in spend (+2% and 0% in North America, -1% and -4% in Asia Pacific).
A different report on this topic in the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

21 April 2014
The February ‘TBA-100 Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 148; AsPac 84; Europe 113; US 245. (Base: Dec 06.)

18 April 2014
-Alitalia sold 1.68mn seats in March; we estimate that was a 0.7% fall.
-Premium traffic (RPKs) on IATA member airlines was +4.1% in February.
-Copenhagen airport passenger count was 2.0mn, +4.8%, in March.
-Frankfurt airport passenger count was 12.2mn, +2%, in Q1.

17 April 2014
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.60mn seats, +2.0%, in March.
-Etihad sold 3.2mn seats, +14%, in Q1.
-London Heathrow airport passenger count was 5.8mn, -2.8%, in March.

16 April 2014
Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Jan +2E. 2013: Dec +5P; Nov +1.2; Oct +2.7; Sep +2.0; Aug +2.6; Jul +2.7; Jun +2.7; May +2.8; Apr +0.6; Mar +3.6; Feb +0.9. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

15 April 2014
US updates:
-US travel agencies in Q1 - air ticket sales US$24bn +4.6%, ticket transactions 39.5mn +2.6%.
-US visitor spend on traveller accommodation +14.5% in Q4 2013, prices for traveller accommodation -8.0%, prices for passenger air transportation +7.9%.

14 April 2014
Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Jan +8E. 2013: Dec +6P; Nov +4.8; Oct +6.9; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0; Apr +3.3; Mar +6.4; Feb +6.7. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

11 April 2014
Link to Travel Intelligence column, Page 6, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10036683#/8

Link to TTG Travel Pursuits column, Page 13, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst: http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10036683#/26

10 April 2014
Aviation updates in March (unless noted otherwise):
-ACI reports Europe’s airport passengers +5.3% in February.
-Air Berlin sold 2.26mn seats, -4.4%.
-American RPKs were +0.9%.
-Easyjet sold 5.11mn seats, +4.8%.
-IAG (British, Iberia, Vueling) RPKs were +2.6%.
-Lufthansa Group sold 21.7mn seats, +0.5%, in Q1.
-SAS sold 2.2mn seats, +7.1%.
-Southwest RPKs were +1.6%.
-United RPKs were +0.7%.

9 April 2014
Link to Foxtrots blog on the Singapore Airlines group: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/04/09/singapore-airlines-company-thoughts/

Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Jan +4E. 2013: Dec +4P; Nov +3.1; Oct +5.5; Sep +4.0; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3; Apr +0.5; Mar +2.1; Feb +2.5. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

8 April 2014
Travel industry updates:
-Aeroflot sold 1.56mn seats, +14.9% in February.
-The US department of commerce forecasts 72.2mn visitors, +3.6%, this year.
-US visitors spent US$12.2bn, +8%, on travel goods and services in the US in January, and US$3.6bn, +4%, on passenger air and ship fares (on US aircraft/ships only).

7 April 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2014: Jan +5E. 2013: Dec +5P; Nov +3.6; Oct +5.3; Sep +4.7; Aug +5.7; Jul +2.6; Jun +4.8; May +4.0; Apr +1.5; Mar +5.4; Feb +3.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

4 April 2014
Link to TTG Travel Pursuits column, Page 5, in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst:
http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10036512#/4

Foxtrots blog – Taiwan . Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/04/04/taiwan-update/

3 April 2014
Taiwan’s MICE
-Taiwan External Trade Development Council (abbreviated, inexplicably, to Taitra) issues the Meet Taiwan discount card. It forecast 60,000 would be issued but it was wrong; about 105,000 had been issued by end-2013.
-Grand, which manages the International Convention Center Kaohsiung, held 750 events in its first year of management (almost comprising all-2013); it projects double that this year.
-Kaohsiung Exhibition Center is due to open this month. It is the first conference centre managed by Uniplan, which has signed a 12-year management contract for the government-owned centre. Until now Uniplan has done event management.
-Taiwan has probably gained from the China-v-Japan political squabble. In 2013, for instance, McDonald’s China held a business meeting–cum-incentive travel for 2500 management-level staff.
-2013 C and E (of MICE) ‘output’ (not clearly defined) US$1.1bn (NT$33.8bn).
-Visitors who had seen advertisements or read reports about Taiwan before visiting – all types of visitors 63%, MICE (just C & E segments; likewise for rest of this section) 49%.
-Spent their spare time on sightseeing during their visit in Taiwan – all 58%, MICE 89%.
-Made trip as a “group tour arranged through a travel agency” – all 40%, MICE 3%.
-First time to Taiwan – all 68%, MICE 66%.
-Daily spend – all US$234, MICE US$213. Most observers maintain that MICE visitors spend more. The DMO had no comment on this contrary finding.
-Spend breakdown – hotel (all 32% share, MICE 52%), meals (all 13%, MICE 13%), local transport (all 10%, MICE 8%), entertainment (all 8%, MICE 4%), shopping (all 36%, MICE 20%), miscellaneous (all 1%, MICE 2%).
-Applied for tax refund – all 15%, MICE 7%. Thought tax-refund procedures were convenient – all 93%, MICE 100%.
Notes: Other related reports on Taiwan have appeared in the Travel Business Analyst newsletters, and in the Foxtrots and Trottings blogs.

2 April 2014
Daily ridership on THSR (Taiwan High Speed Rail), running Taipei-Kaohsiung, is about 130,000 on about 135 departures daily.
  The service decimated air travel; half the air routes between Taipei and the country's western cities had been discontinued. Total domestic air traffic was expected to be halved and the last Taipei-Kaohsiung flight stopped in 2012.
  It also affected other modes of transport:
-After THSR started, non-high-speed traffic Taipei-Kaohsiung fell 10%. We are surprised it was not more. So this probably indicates that THSR took most of its traffic from the airlines, but see also next.
-The parallel expressway also lost 10% of its traffic, and long-distance bus companies lost 20-30%.

1 April 2014
Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in March. Airlines: biggest growth, Air NZ +15%; biggest fall, SAS -19%. Hotels: NH +7%, Jinjiang -14%. Others: Kuoni +9%, Orbitz -18%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, Ryanair +17%; biggest fall, Malaysia -17%. Hotels: Orient Express +11%, Melia -5%. Others: Orbitz +32%, Kuoni -9%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 151, US 257, AsPac 83, Eur 113.  Index previous month: WW 148, US 245, AsPac 84, Eur 113.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in next month’s newsletters.

31 March 2014
The November ‘TBA All-Travel Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, for Asia Pacific travel, is at +2% over the same month in 2012. Previous month +5%.

28 March 2014
Foxtrots blog – Etihad Regional. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/03/28/etihad-does-mini-etihad/

27 March 2014
Travel industry updates:
-Wrong name. Switzerland-based Darwin Airline, now 33% owned by Etihad, was renamed Etihad Regional this January. As the word ‘etihad’ comes from the Arabic for ‘union’, we believe its new name should be UnionAir.
-Newly-available data on the Kuala Lumpur-Bangkok route shows traffic last December was greater into Don Mueang airport than into Suvarnabhumi.
-The core Singapore Airlines group (SIAG - SIA plus Silk) sold only 1.4% more seats over January-February.
-Singapore airport handled 4.11mn passengers, -0.2%, in February.
-US visitors 5.4mn, +3%, in November 2012.

26 March 2014
Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in January, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows 2.5% for AF+KL, +6.4% BA+IB, +3.1% LH+LX+OS.

25 March 2014
Outbound travel by US nationals totalled 4.5mn, +9%, in January. To overseas 2.0mn +4% (Europe 578k +3%, Asia 376k +1%). With North America 2.48mn, +13%.

24 March 2014
Foxtrots blog - Tripped Up, or Bad Trips. India, (No-) Goa, Virgin, WTTC. Link:
http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/03/

21 March 2014
Our YTD through October calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +1.2% (all airports +4.7%). Last month: +1.0% (+4.4%).

20 March 2014
Foxtrots blog - Club Med in a Muddle. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/03/20/club-med-in-a-muddle/

The December hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 1.5; AsPac 1.9; Europe 1.6; US 1.1. Previous month: 3.9; AsPac 5.5; Europe 5.0; US 0.5.

19 March 2014
Aviation updates:
-Alitalia. Selected data being released. Not all shown here because value of data may not be clear. Period Jan-Feb.
  -Visitors to Italy on Alitalia +4%.
  -Seat sales from Europe +6%.
  -Seat sales from North America +3% - business class +6.4pts, premium economy +7.4pts.
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.38mn seats, + 1.8%, in February.
-IATA member airlines’ premium seat sales +6.1% (North Atlantic +5%, Asia +7%) in January. 

18 March 2014
The January ‘TBA-100 Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 136; AsPac 83; Europe 109; US 215. (Base: Dec 06.)

17 March 2014
(Delayed report)
Some surprising moves in 2013 travel stock prices. They grew 40% worldwide, 74% in the US, 47% in Europe, but fell 27% in Asia Pacific! Match that with their stockmarket results - +17% WW, +23% US, +18% Eur, flat in AsPac.

14 March 2014
Travel industry updates:
-ACI said Europe’s airports handled +6.3% passengers in January.
-Air Berlin sold 1.84mn seats, +2%, in February.
-American RPKs were +0.5% in February.
-Easyjet sold 4.23mn seats, +2.9%, in February.
-Frankfurt airport handled 3.7mn passengers, +1.8%, in February.
-IAG (British Iberia Vueling) RPKs were +11.4% in February.
-IATA forecasts seat sales will be +5.8% this year; earlier, it forecast +6.0%.
-London Heathrow airport handled 4.9mn passengers, +1%, in February.
-Ryanair sold 4.5mn seats, +7%, in February.
-Southwest RPKs in February were +1.2%.
-Turkish sold 48.3mn seats, +23.6%, in 2013.
-United RPKs were -0.3% in February.
-US visitors were 6.0mn, +4% in September.

13 March 2014
Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Dec +5E; Nov +1P; Oct +2.7; Sep +2.0; Aug +2.6; Jul +2.7; Jun +2.2; May +1.4; Apr +0.4; Mar +3.4; Feb +0.7; Jan +2.8. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

12 March 2014
IPKI mis-reporting
(Extracted from the Travel Business Analyst newsletter.)
We have found disturbing mis-reporting, and some errors, in recent output from research body IPK International’s World Travel Monitor. The company did not answer our requests for clarification before going to press, leaving us to interpret its data and comments as best we can.
-Notes “tourism” grew 4% in 2012. We assume this is only inbound visitor arrivals.
-Says this 2012 result makes 2013 “one of the most successful years to date”. We do not understand how 2012 data makes 2013 a ‘success’. In addition, ‘one of’ is unacceptable for an organisation such as IPKI and almost meaningless. For instance, arrivals (if IPKI is commenting on that) grew 5% in 2011 and 7% in 2010, making each of those also ‘one of the most successful...’.
  For 2013:
-IPKI says the MICE segment grew 6%. We do not know how IPKI measures MICE, but we do know the sector is small, certainly under 10%.
-What IPKI calls “conventional business travel” fell 10%; we presume this excludes the MICE sector.
-“Culturally motivated travel such as city breaks” grew 8%. We disagree that all ‘city breaks’ can be defined ‘culturally-motivated’.
-“Culturally motivated travel such as roundtrips” grew 5%. Nonsensical definition, although IPKI usually has a category of ‘sightseeing’, and we presume ‘roundtrips’ is that but mis-translated.
  IPKI also continues with its non-travel observations, which to us seem exaggerated and faintly ridiculous, viz:
-“There is still a risk of national economies going bankrupt and the world’s financial system collapsing.” Obviously there is always a possibility that these two events will happen, but surely this is unlikely, at least in the near future, say 4/5 years?
  (That said, by using the term ‘national economies’, IPKI includes every economy in the world, so the likelihood of one going bankrupt one day – that is the definition – must be high.)
-“For the old economies this means that the economic pressure of higher taxes and interest rates which take effect below the inflation threshold will result in a further tightening of belts.” An “inflation threshold” does not exist, thus making this comment meaningless.
-Despite the “unsettled economic situation”, IPKI says the volume of travel will “continue to grow and for the most part will result in more people from the new economies undertaking their first trips” (in 2014). Similarly, a ‘settled’ economic situation does not exist – unless IPKI has its own definition, such as the top-10 economies all growing annually at 2-5%?
  We also do not understand how growth in travel can ‘result in’ more people from ‘new economies’ (whatever they are) taking a first trip. Surely it is the other way round - growth (which is particularly from China and Russia) will cause the growth?

11 March 2014
Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Dec +6E; Nov +5P; Oct +6.9; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0; Apr +3.0; Mar +6.4; Feb +6.7; Jan +3.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

10 March 2014
Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Dec +5E; Nov +3P; Oct +5.5; Sep +4.0; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3; Apr +0.5; Mar +2.1; Feb +2.5; Jan -1.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

7 March 2014
Asean. Annual review.
Reports on the 10 destinations of Asean, collected from the ATF-2014 in Kuching, Malaysia. Different reports on these destinations have run in the Travel Business Analyst newsletters (primarily market analysis) and on travelbusinessanalyst.com (primarily news). The reports here are more product-related.

Brunei.
-New products: Floating Jetty to Bangar in Temburong district, due early this year, costing US$188k (B$236k); 500-ha Agro-Technology Park (free entry); War/Heritage Trail; River Cruise; Islamic Tours; Kampong Kiudang (jungle trekking, cultural and heritage trails).
-Improvements at the Jerudong pleasure park (mini water park, ferris wheel, 21-mini hole golf-course, junior coaster ride), due by mid-year.
-New/changed hotels: V Plaza (Kuala Belait) 82R, Stoneville 36R, Star Lodge (was Holiday Lodge) 107R, Park Garden (was Goodview) 68R, NSEY Hotel (Kuala Belait) 18R.

Cambodia. No information given.

Indonesia.
-DMO plans more effort in China, including B-to-C promotions in six secondary cities, such as Chongqing, Suzhou. It did three cities in 2013. It will be helped by new flights, such as Hainan-Bali by Hainan Airlines.
-New policy is to promote ‘Bali Beyond’. Helping will be new Garuda ATR flights from Bali to east Indonesia, such as Komodo and Papua.
-Garuda plans to restart London flights this year.
-DMO now using trade-term coined by Travel Business Analyst – VoB, for Visa-on-Board. The service has been available on flights from Australia and Japan, and has now been started on flights from Shanghai.

Laos.
-Applied for world heritage status for the Plain of Jars (which has 156 pots, of which the biggest is 3m).
-Visa free for Asean markets plus six other, and largely irrelevant, markets. Not, for instance, Australia, China, France, Germany, UK, US. The DMO says the reason is political; Luxembourg and Switzerland get visa-free because they help Laos economically.

Malaysia.
-Current opening date for the replacement second terminal at Kuala Lumpur airport (named KLIA-2, to take over from the LCCT, low-cost-carrier-terminal) is this May.
-Among new hotels due in Kuala Lumpur: St Regis due 2014, Regent 2015, W 2016, Four Seasons 2017, Harrods 2018.
-The Iskandar development in Johore Bahru opened a retail village last September, including 80 upmarket shops. The Legoland theme park, also opened September, counted a high 2mn visitors by year-end.
-23,000 people approved for second-home visas – ostensibly for retirement, but also used by businessmen from other countries.

Sarawak, host of ATF-2014.
-Has Mulu as world heritage site and the DMO is considering a link with Cambodia’s Siem Reap and Komodo in Indonesia for a culture circuit.
-The state still has control over immigration (even intra-Malaysia travellers go through immigration control). That was the deal the Sarawak state arranged when it joined the Malaysia federation.
-Product changes: pedestrian bridge over the river in Kuching, but date not finalised.
-Kuching product update due this year:
  -Borneo Samariang Resort City. A 200ha satellite township north of Kuching, to be developed over 10 years including theme parks, resort accommodation, and what is called a ‘dedicated MICE Center’ – although there cannot be such a thing for the ‘I’ part of ‘MICE’.
  -KTS Garden, comprising a main hall with restaurants - general Chinese with 60 tables and a Cantonese one with 20.
  -Imperial Hotel. 325R, ballroom (1500 banquet-style), nine meeting rooms 40-60 banquet-style). Due this month.

Myanmar.
-Visitors can now arrive through one border crossing (including land crossings), and depart through another.
-A new airport is being built for capacity-peaked Yangon, due in 2017, perhaps 2016. Existing airport will remain open. Mandalay airport to be expanded; details unclear.
-DMO still encourages new airlines into Yangon, but looks more carefully at existing airlines wanting to increase their capacity.
-Sofitel due to open this year.

Philippines.
-Now diversifying its product.
-The DMO is now seeking educational tourism.
-A problem is air access. The DMO hopes Terminal-3 will open this year. A new airport is planned for the south of Luzon island.
-Following an executive order from the president, all foreign airlines have unlimited access to airports other than Manila.
-In 2013 Philippine Airlines restarted Europe flights, to London, and this year it plans to add Paris.
-Charter flights from China to Legaspi are planned for this year.
-Budget terminal is due to open at Clark airport by 2015.
-VPY, Visit Philippines Year, planned for 2015.

Singapore.
-14k hotel rooms due in next few years. Those this year include Holiday Inn Express.
-New products: River Safari, opened April 2013, part of which is the Amazon River Quest (only 480m long), opened December 2013; Marine Life Park, getting about 18k visitors/day; Satay by the Bay in Gardens by the Bay; Chinatown Food Street due to reopen Q1 this year; Madame Tussauds due to open on Sentosa island some time this year; Sports Hub, with a retractable roof, due to open first half of this year, with the first event scheduled to be a women’s tennis event, which has been signed on for eight years; National Art Gallery, due in 2015, housed in refurbished building; Singapore Botanic Gardens has applied for Unesco heritage site designation.
-There are plans to expand the city’s metro-rail system into Johore Bahru in neighbouring Malaysia.

Thailand.
-4th bridge into Laos opened in 2013. By 2016 the so-called ‘Asian Highway’ is due to open from Bangkok though Myanmar to northeast India.
-The DMO has set up a call centre to inform visitors about the current socio-political problems. And its website even provides video coverage of trouble-spots.
-This year it plans to focus on promoting the north and south – presumably to avoid problems if they continue to be centred on Bangkok.

Vietnam.
-New hotels/resorts: Novotel Danang, Laguna Lang Co, Muang Thanh.
-New airport is planned for HCMC. And Hanoi plans a new terminal.
-New rules introduced in 2013 to make it easier for visitors to bring in their own vehicles.
-Has seven world heritage sites.
-Visa-free access to Phu Quoc island (in the southwest actually closer to Cambodia, only 12km away). Its airport is served from Ho Chi Minh City, and there is a hydrofoil service to the mainland 115km away.

*Different reports on these destinations have run in this month’s Travel Business Analyst newsletters and in the Foxtrots blog.

6 March 2014
Aviation updates in January:
-Aeroflot sold 1.6mn seats, +13.7%.
-RPKs of airline members of IATA (International Air Transport Association) grew 8.0% (international +7.8%, domestic +8.2%).
–Singapore airport handled 4.60mn passengers, +6.3%.
-US international seats sold +8%.

5 March 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Dec +5E; Nov +3P; Oct +5.3; Sep +4.7; Aug +5.7; Jul +2.6; Jun +4.7; May +3.7; Apr +1.4; Mar +5.3; Feb +3.4; Jan +1.9. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

Link to column compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst, on Germany’s travel market in TTG Asia’s ITB Daily issue:
http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10036134#/2

4 March 2014
In 2013:
-Copenhagen airport handled 24.1mn passengers, +3.1% .
-London Heathrow airport handled 72.3mn passengers, +3.4%.
-Visitors to the US spent US$181bn, +9%.
-Etihad sold 11.5mn seats, +12%.

3 March 2014
Foxtrots blog - Meetings trends; Amex, ICCA, GCB. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/03/02/meetings-trends-amex-icca-gcb/

Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in February. Airlines: biggest growth, Ryanair +17%; biggest fall, Malaysia -17%. Hotels: Orient Express +11%, Sol Melia -5%. Others: Orbitz +32%, Kuoni -9%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, American 33%; biggest fall, Jet AW -19%. Hotels: NH +9%, Shangri La -15%. Others: TUI +6%, Interval -15%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 148, US 245, AsPac 84, Eur 113.  Index previous month: WW 136, US 215, AsPac 83, Eur 109.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in this month’s newsletters, including comparison with end-year prices over the past 12 months, and with 5- and 10-years ago.

28 February 2014
The October ‘TBA All-Travel Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, for Asia Pacific travel, is at +5% over the same month in 2012. Previous month +5%.

27 February 2014
Departures by US nationals 61.6mn +1% in 2013; to non-North America destinations 29.0mn, +2%.
A full report on this topic in the March issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented.

26 February 2014
A Jones Lang LaSalle report on Australia hotel development shows:
-Roomnight supply expected to increase 1.2% annually over next five years. Long-term average has been 3.7% annually, but 1.0% over the past 10 years.
-There are 10 projects (but JLL says they will have only 735 rooms) under construction or proposed in Melbourne and Sydney. But projects in Sydney at the start stage total 32 with 3226 rooms.

25 February 2014
Aviation updates:
-Aeroflot seat sales in 2013 were +18.4%.
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.54mn seats, +9.3%, in January.
-IATA reports in December: premium international passenger seat sales were +4.2%; economy international seat sales were +3.5%.

24 February 2014
Foxtrots blog - Casinos into travel. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/24/casinos-into-travel/

Foxtrots blog - Soundbites from Philip Wolf. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/22/soundbites-from-philip-wolf/

Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in December, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows 3.7% for AF+KL, +4.3% BA+IB, +3.1% LH+LX+OS.

21 February 2014
-Our YTD through September calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +1.0% (all airports +4.4%). Last month: +0.8% (+4.1%).

-Business in 2013 was not as good for Singapore Airlines as they would like us to think; seat sales up only 3%. Also +3% at Silk, but with a 5-pt fall in seat factor!

-Are changes in China/Taiwan travel in 2013 the beginning of trends?
  Travel from Taiwan into China fell, albeit only -2.1%, to 3.07mn. And China travel into Taiwan increased 6.7% but that was still below overall growth, which was 9.6%.
  However, Taiwan’s China market has grown an average annual 57% over the past five years! At 2.9mn, its share is now 36%, and the balance (in/out) is now almost perfect.

20 February 2014
Foxtrots blog - Soundbites from WTO’s Rifai. Link:
http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/20/soundbites-from-wtos-rifai/

US updates:
-ARC says US travel agency airline tickets sales were US$7.84bn, +2.8%, in January.
-Carlson Wagonlit Travel 2013 sales were US$26.9bn, -2.7%, and transactions were 60.3mn, -2.3%.
-STR on hotel occupancy in New Jersey and New York over this month’s Super Bowl weekend - in three areas concerned, 61.2% (+69.4%), 79.8% (+17.5%), 74.8% (+23.6%). In comparison, for Super Bowl 2013 in New Orleans, occupancy was 99.5%.
-Visitors to the US grew 7% to 5.5mn in June 2013.

19 February 2014
The December ‘TBA Index’ of travel stock prices, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows: World 136; AsPac 87; Europe 107; US 214. (Base: Dec 06.)

18 February 2014
Trottings blog - Air France; Paris CDG airport; Sama Sama. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/15/trottings-air-france-paris-cdg-airport-sama-sama/

Aviation updates, January:
-Air France-KLM sold 5.7mn seats, +3.8%.
-Alitalia sold 1.48mn seats, +0.5%.
-Easyjet sold 4.02mn seats, +3.7%.
-Frankfurt airport handled 4mn passengers, +3.4%.
-London Heathrow airport handled 5.4mn passengers, +3.8%.
-Ryanair sold 4.6mn seats, +5%.
-SAS sold 1.7mn seats, -0.2%.
-Southwest RPKs were +2.2%.
-United RPKs were -1.6%.

17 February 2014
Link to column in TTG Asia compiled by Murray Bailey, editor of Travel Business Analyst:
http://epublishbyus.com/ebook/ebook?id=10035542#/6

Our US ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Nov +2E; Oct +3P; Sep +2.8; Aug +1.6; Jul +2.5; Jun +2.2; May +1.4; Apr +0.4; Mar +3.4; Feb +0.7; Jan +2.8. 2012: Dec +2.4. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

14 February 2014
Foxtrots blog - TinT – Truth-in-Travel: Air Asia; Skymark. Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/14/tint-truth-in-travel-air-asia-skymark/

 

Some all-2013 results:
-The Air Asia group (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand; not AAX) sold 42.6mn seats, +25%.
A different report on this topic in the next issue of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter highlights some important observations on the data as presented. A different report is also included in the Foxtrots blog.
-Amsterdam airport handled 52.6mn passengers, +3.0%.
-Europe airports’ passengers handled were +2.8%. Source: ACI.
-IATA (International Air Transport Association) member airlines’ RPKs were +5.2%.
-Icelandair seat sales were +12%.
-In 2013 the Rezidor hotel group contracted 6400 new rooms, opened 3300; and 2000 left the system.

13 February 2014
The ABAV travel exhibition in Brazil has changed its name from ‘ABAV - Tourism Fair of the Americas’ to a more-international ‘ABAV - International Tourism Expo’.
  Some measures from the 2013 ABAV:
-74% of exhibitors said the event generated new business opportunities.
-Financial volume generated at the fair to 2613 exhibitor brands was between US$74mn and US$120mn (based on the two estimates given by participants).
-Of visitors, 59% were directors/managers - 34% with final decision-making power, 44% with influence.
-60% of visitors said the main reason for their participation was the chance to learn about new products, 21% networking, 18% knowledge. 
-60% of exhibitors said the main reason for their participation was to find new contacts and networking, 22% to promote their brand, 13% new businesses, 6% increase sales.
  This year’s ABAV is scheduled for September 24-28 in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

12 February 2014
Trottings blog - Smart singer; Airports (Amsterdam, Paris, Singapore). Link: http://tbaoffice.wordpress.com/2014/02/12/774/

Our Asia Pacific ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Asia Pacific edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Nov +5E; Oct +7P; Sep +8.1; Aug +7.8; Jul +4.2; Jun +6.0; May +4.0; Apr +3.0; Mar +6.4; Feb +6.7; Jan +3.4. 2012: Dec +7.0. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

11 February 2014
Our Europe ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current Europe edition of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Nov +4E; Oct +4E; Sep +3.8; Aug +6.1; Jul +1.1; Jun +5.0; May +4.3; Apr +0.5; Mar +2.1; Feb +2.5; Jan -1.4. 2012: Dec +1.7. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

10 February 2014
Capella news update:
-Has only six hotels (Dusseldorf; Ixtapa and Pedregal, Mexico; New York; Singapore, in what were the officers’ quarters for the colonial army; Sochi).
-Plans Bangkok, Doha, Mayan Riviera (Mexico), Niseko (Japan), St Petersburg (Russia), Washington.
-Will probably lose its New York hotel, the Setai, which it took over in 2009. There was a complication with the name, which carries a brand name of the Singapore-based hotel-management company GHM.
  The Setai is now being sold, and Capella expects to lose the management contract. This indicates a weak management contract, probably based on the need for Capella to get into New York. A stronger management contract would include a clause that if there were a change in ownership, the management contract remains – or compensation is paid.
-Capella is looking for another hotel in NY. This time it will most likely be named Capella.
-See report in People-in-Travel on Capella’s head, Horst Schulze.

7 February 2014
Aviation updates:
-Aeroflot sold 20.9mn seats, +18.4%, in 2013.
-Air Canada RPKs +3.7% in January.
-IAG (British, Iberia, Vueling) RPKs +11.1% in January.
-IATA (International Air Transport Association) said RPKs for member airlines were +5.2% in 2013.

6 February 2014
Reports from the IT&CMA trade show.
New Zealand
-New Zealand is well known, but people say they want to go ‘one day’. The DMO wants people to want to go on their next trip.
-Business-event visitors spend three times more than leisure visitor.
-The DMO has been given an additional US$20mn (NZ$34mn) over four years to attract business events.
-Its theme is ‘Beyond Convention’.
-Business Events has a team of seven in NZ looking at various markets. It is now about to appoint people in Singapore.
-It is trying to get more data on business travel in the first part of the business program.
-It targets the young market, families.
-Visitors from China are a growing market.
-India total 30k, but also it is also important because there is a good share of arrivals in NZ’s shoulder months, April, May.
-Malaysia. Fall because Air Asia X dropped its flights. Now starting to pick up.
-Singapore market, 38k, is flat.
-Thailand is a good growth; small but growing.
-UK is down, but it is a big market. So it goes after specific market segments. The UK market will come back.

Fast Future
Soundbites:
-The future is coming faster.
-What we think of as the far future is being created now.
-Genetic information will be part of the travel pattern. (Ie, some things you will do or not do because it is not good according to your DNA.)
-Things people worry about it - 45% intrusive security, 40% thought of missing flight; 72% length of time between check-in and boarding.
-Business traveller priorities – 56% want home away from home.
-People want ‘authentic travel’.
-Also people want to get away from technology.
-At one Crowne Plaza, if you use the cycle machine in the exercise room you generate electricity.
-Some sites offer hotels to bid for a customer once he has booked a room in a hotel.
-China Southern offers upgrade to BC in flight.
-The travel agent has become a travel enabler.

5 February 2014
Our world ‘TBA Travel Industry Index’ in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows monthly traffic growth of: 2013: Nov +4E; Oct +5P; Sep +4.8; Aug +5.5; Jul +2.8; Jun +4.7; May +3.7; Apr +1.4; Mar +5.3; Feb +3.4; Jan +1.9. 2012: Dec +4.5. (Percentage change over previous year. E=estimate, P=provisional.)

4 February 2014
Singapore’s oddly-named hotel company, Unlisted Collection, is expanding fast. Updates:
-Has six hotels. Biggest is 98 rooms. UC says a property needs about 30 rooms to make money.
-Majestic, Singapore. Was 80 rooms, now 30. Different designs for each room.
-Its Shanghai hotel, which was a warehouse, has only 19 rooms. UC says its restaurant makes more money than the hotel. But the main money is the event space (there is a big space there in the warehouse).
-Tries to limit OTA sales to 20%. About 25-30% of sales through its own website.
-Its Frankfurt hotel has near 100% corporate travellers.
-UC’s owner tells staff not to take their job too seriously; have fun.
-Has one GM for its three hotels in Singapore and its two in London. Also, some back office functions are mixed. In Sydney with just one hotel, it would be hard. It would not have a 19-room hotel in Sydney; has 60 rooms there. 15 staff in head office.
  Another Singapore-based hotel company, the developer Kop, says it is building in Bali. It owns the Ritz-Carlton Residency in Singapore.

3 February 2014
Travel stocks (US, AsPac, Eur) in January. Airlines: biggest growth, American 33%; biggest fall, Jet AW -19%. Hotels: NH +9%, Shangri La -15%. Others: TUI +6%, Interval -15%.
  Previous month: Airlines: biggest growth, American 110%; biggest fall, Thai -17%. Hotels: Accor +6%, Peninsula -7%. Others: Amadeus +13%, Interval -21%.
  TBA Travel Stocks Index: WW 136, US 215, AsPac 83, Eur 109.  Index previous month: WW 136, US 214, AsPac 87, Eur 107.
  Info via Travel Business Analyst. Details in next month’s newsletters.

31 January 2014
Industry results
All 2013:
-The 29 members of AEA (Association of European Airlines) sold 375mn seats, +1.6%.
-Alitalia releases only partial selected data: international seats sold +3.4% - number not given.
-Dubai airport handled 66.4mn passengers, +15.2%.
-Easyjet sold 14.3mn seats, +4.2%.
-Singapore airport handled 53.7mn passengers, +5.0%.
-International air passengers to/from the US 185.4mn, +4.4%.
-Visitor arrivals 1.09bn, +5%. Source: World Tourism Organization.

Other periods:
-Cathay Pacific (with Dragonair) sold 2.60mn seats, +3.3% in December.
-Pegasus Solutions reports world hotel leisure bookings were +4.3% in December, rates +4.8%. Corporate bookings +7.4%, rates +1.7%.
-Visitors to the US spent US$15.3bn, +9%, in November – spend in the US US$11.8bn +8%, spend on fares US$3.4bn +3%.
-US outbound overseas (excluding Canada, Mexico) 2.0mn, +3%, in November.

30 January 2014
Our calculation of seats sold by airline groups in Europe in November, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows -0.2% for AF+KL, +3.0% BA+IB, +1.1% LH+LX+OS.

29 January 2014
WTM’s foolish figures
The World Travel Market has reported that its Global Trends Report* has “accurately [predicted] trends” in travel.

The BRICs
GTR in 2012 predicted that visitor arrivals in Europe from BRIC markets (Brazil Russia India China) would “experience incredible growth”, presumably in 2013. In a report based on statistical data, “incredible” is unprofessional, and has no real meaning. But colloquially, it has come to mean a little more than “surprising”.
  GTR/WTM were extremely selective in information supporting its claim, starting with the definition “newly released data”. There is no further indication of what period that covers.
  They selected just three destinations, only one of which is in the top-10 visitor destinations in Europe. And from these it showed only some BRIC data, viz: Croatia B +40%, C +93%; Cyprus R +42%; Netherlands I +18%. That is four pieces of data out of maximum 12 possible for these three.
  And if all Europe is included, that would be four pieces of data out of about maximum 160. GTR/WTM seem more likely to have lost much credibility rather than the kudos they are claiming.
  The data we have shows:
  [] Croatia. For 2012 B +40.9%, R +7.7%, I +50.0%, C +95.5%. Russia might not have been noted in GTR because it was below faster growth from bigger markets in Europe - +12% from Germany, +10% from Poland, +17% from Netherlands. None of those trends was foreseen by GTR.
  But note – which GTR did not – those big percentages are on small or tiny figures, such as India growing from 4000 visitors to 6000. Germany sent 200k more visitors; additional from the BRICs totalled 36k; GTR did not foresee that trend.
  [] Cyprus. R +42.0%, C +6.6%. No figures for B&I – which means they were small. Japan from Asia (already bigger than I&C) managed 80% growth – a trend that GTR did not predict. We also note that some of the Russia traffic may now fall following Cyprus’s financial crisis, of which Russia was an important element, this past summer.
  [] Netherlands. We have only Jan-Mar 13 data (which may or may not tally with GTR’s ‘newly-released’. B +18%, R +6%, I +16%, C (includes Hong Kong) +27%. But, note, Japan (bigger than I&C) +21%, and much more important, Germany +15%. Again, that Germany growth represents 5-times as many additional visitors than the BRIC growth. Unfortunately, GTR did not foresee that trend.

Digital Detox
Another trend theme was GTR’s forecast of “Digital Detox at Hotels”. (The way GTR uses ‘Detox’, it appears to mean ‘relax’. ‘Digital’ is almost meaningless in this title, but we presume DD means getting away from technology.)
  Obviously, this ‘trend’ is not a statistical measure, and can mean much or little. But nothing GTR shows indicates its forecast ‘key trend’ is indeed that. It gives a few examples – the type of which happens every year - such as internet-free holidays.
  We could easily find the same number of examples of more ‘connected’ offers from hotels, so would that prove the opposite of ‘digital detox’ – that there is a ‘key trend’ to more ‘tech-friendly’ holidays?

Nollywood
WTM said the GTR “correctly predicted” that Nollywood “would help boost tourism in Nigeria”. We would probably agree with that, although we might also add that, say, the oil business also helped boost visitor arrivals (WTM/GTR mean all ‘arrivals’, thus including business travel as well as leisure, when they use the word “tourism”).
  But WTM ‘proves’ that Nollywood support for the visitor business by noting that visitor arrivals in Nigeria increased 2% in 2012 and are expected to “grow by 3% by 2017”. That seems to be saying that growth over 2013-17 will be 3% - which would be 0.6% annually!
  Or is this a script for a Nollywood comedy?

*GTR is produced for WTM by Euromonitor, some of whose travel business reports have been criticised in the Travel Business Analyst newsletters. This means that comments here about GTR are also a direct reference to Euromonitor.

28 January 2014
Our YTD through August calculation of passenger throughput at ‘low-fare airports’ in Europe, in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, derived from ACI data, shows: +0.8% (all airports +4.1%). Last month: +0.7% (+2.1%).

27 January 2014
The October hotel-track in the current editions of the Travel Business Analyst newsletter, shows occupancy growth in points: World 3.9; AsPac 5.5; Europe 5.0; US 0.5. Previous month: 3.3; 1.2; 4.5; 0.0.

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Current Issues...

Main contents in current issues of our newsletters and reports:

Travel Business Analyst, Asia Pacific: ICCA counts. PATA inbound forecasts. Plus: Market Monitor; World Travel Industry Index; ZERO; Market Headlines; Market Outlook; and 20 regular tables of market data.


Travel Business Analyst, Europe: ICCA counts. Other meetings results. Ryanair. Plus: Market Monitor; World Travel Industry Index; ZERO; Extracts from Net Value or People-in-Travel; Market Headlines; and 16 regular tables of market data.


Net Value: AirBnB measures; others.


People-in-Travel: Adrian Zecha; Mari Pangestu; others.


Foxtrots/Trottings (recent): Air Nostrum, VoB, Qantas; Schroeder, Pan Pacific; Etihad mini-Etihad.


ZERO (occasional): FURther thoughts; Europe fails again; Frankfurt airport.

 

Market Data